Dennis McGinn Discusses Climate Change and National Security
Thursday, June 17 10:59 am
Vice Admiral Dennis McGinn USN (Ret.), CNA Military Advisory Board, will be a featured speaker at the panel Climate Change: the Threat and Opportunity for Global Security at the Museum on June 22. He recently answered some questions about the connection between climate change and national security. Make sure to visit the News section later for another Q&A with McGinn’s co-panelist, UK Climate and Energy Security Envoy Rear Admiral Neil Morisetti.
The connection between climate change and national or global security is a key part of the larger debate. What is that connection?
First, that the likely conditions created by climate change—droughts, floods, extreme weather events, loss of coastal regions, reduced water supplies, crop failure and potential pandemics—will act as a “threat multiplier” for instability in volatile regions of the world. Second, the destabilizing effect of these stressful conditions on fragile governments and societies will cause them to fail, creating a growing need for U.S. military missions ranging from humanitarian assistance to peacekeeping to conflicts over resources in regions critical to U.S. national security.
What are some recent examples of the implications of climate change for national security?
Failed states create a fertile breeding ground for organized crime, paramilitary forces and extremists. Two present examples are the Darfur region of Sudan and the failed state of Somalia. If the destabilizing effects of climate change go unchecked, we can expect more frequent, widespread, and intense failed state scenarios creating large scale humanitarian disasters and higher potential for conflict and terrorism. The effects of climate change can significantly magnify and accelerate regional pressures on long-standing tensions along political, ethnic, religious, and economic fault lines. This is a recipe for failed states and societies which, in most cases, will lead to conflict.
The Department of Defense and national intelligence communities recognize this clear link between climate change, national security, and instability and have begun strategic plans and programs to both mitigate and adapt to the most likely and serious effects in key areas around the globe.
You argue that our current reliance on fossil fuel for energy affects us diplomatically, economically, and militarily. How so, and what are the best alternatives?
Our current overreliance on fossil fuel is a serious and urgent threat to our national security. Diplomatically, the fact that we use of 25 percent of the oil produced every year and only control 3 percent of the known oil reserves undermines our moral authority and national leverage with other nations as we attempt to solve serious international issues.
Economically, we send more than $ 1 billion dollars each day to foreign countries, some of them unfriendly to our national interests, to pay for our oil addiction, thereby undermining our domestic economy. And militarily, we pay an enormous price in lost lives and national treasure to put our troops in harm’s way around the world, in many instances primarily to ensure the free flow of oil. Read more »










